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      氣候變化研究進展 ?? 2009, Vol. 5 ?? Issue (06): 357-361.

      ? 綜述 ? 上一篇    下一篇

      東北三省冬季氣溫變化的有關研究進展

      劉實1,閆敏華2,隋波1   

      1. 1. 吉林省氣象科學研究所2. 中國科學院東北地理與農(nóng)業(yè)生態(tài)研究所
      • 收稿日期:2009-02-16 修回日期:2009-03-24 出版日期:2009-11-30 發(fā)布日期:2009-11-30
      • 通訊作者: 劉實

      Advances in the Research of Winter Air Temperature Variation of Three Provinces in Northeast China

      Liu Shi,Minhua Yan,Bo Sui   

      • Received:2009-02-16 Revised:2009-03-24 Online:2009-11-30 Published:2009-11-30
      • Contact: Liu Shi

      摘要: 通過簡要回顧中國學者有關東北三省冬季氣溫變化的研究成果,概括分析了近百年或近幾十年時間尺度平均氣溫及最高、最低氣溫年際、年代際變化的基本特征,綜述了與冬季氣溫年際、年代際變化相關的各類海-氣環(huán)流因子。近百年來,東北冬季氣溫上升,1987年前后發(fā)生增暖突變;北極濤動、西伯利亞高壓、東亞冬季風等是影響東北冬季氣溫年際變化的主要因子;北極濤動、東亞冬季風、東亞中高緯環(huán)流型等的持續(xù)性是冬季氣溫年代際變化的主要因子。對多種變化特征集中出現(xiàn)的20世紀70年代末的氣候變化值得深入探討,也有必要在整個東北三省的范圍內,深入開展冬季氣溫預測方法的系統(tǒng)研究。另外,測站氣溫序列的非均一性問題也應引起足夠重視。

      關鍵詞: 中國東北三省, 冬季氣溫, 氣候變化, 研究進展

      Abstract: This paper summarizes the research progress of winter air temperature variations of three provinces (i.e. Liaoning, Jilin, Heilongjiang) in Northeast China. The basic characteristics of interannual and interdecadal variations of average, maximum and minimum air temperatures in the last 100 years or recent several dacades are briefly reviewed. This overview deals with various atmosphere-ocean general circulation factors closely associated with interdecadal and interannual climate variations of winter air temperature of three provinces in Northeast China. Winter air temperature has risen in Northeast China in recent 100 years, and an abrupt warming occurred in about 1987. Arctic Oscillation, Siberian high, and East Asian winter monsoon are the major factors affecting the interannual variations of winter temperature in Northeast China; the persistentce of Arctic Oscillation, East Asian winter monsoon, and circulation pattern over the mid-high latitudes of East Asia are the major factors affecting the interdecadal variations of winter temperature. The climate change possessing multiple characteristics in the late 1970s is worth further discussing. It is necessary to deeply study the short-term climatic prediction methods of winter temperature in the three provinces of Northeast China. Besides, we should pay more attention to the in-homogeneity problems of observed temperature series in Northeast China.

      Key words: three provinces in Northeast China, winter air temperature, climate change, research advances

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