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      氣候變化研究進(jìn)展 ?? 2009, Vol. 5 ?? Issue (06): 376-382.

      ? 對(duì)策論壇 ? 上一篇    

      波茲南會(huì)議之后的氣候變化政治格局

      于宏源,湯偉   

      1. 上海國(guó)際問(wèn)題研究院
      • 收稿日期:2009-04-07 修回日期:2009-08-10 出版日期:2009-11-30 發(fā)布日期:2009-11-30
      • 通訊作者: 于宏源

      Political Structure of Climate Change After Poznan Conference

      • Received:2009-04-07 Revised:2009-08-10 Online:2009-11-30 Published:2009-11-30

      摘要: 2008年12月的波茲南會(huì)議作為巴厘島和哥本哈根一次中間會(huì)議,既要全面回顧巴厘路線圖的執(zhí)行情況又要為即將到來(lái)的哥本哈根談判作好準(zhǔn)備,因此極為重要。發(fā)達(dá)國(guó)家、發(fā)展中國(guó)家兩大談判陣營(yíng),歐盟、美國(guó)和"77國(guó)集團(tuán)+中國(guó)"三股主要力量圍繞長(zhǎng)期愿景、減排目標(biāo)、適應(yīng)、資金和技術(shù)轉(zhuǎn)讓等問(wèn)題談判激烈。2009年奧巴馬執(zhí)政以來(lái)美國(guó)與歐盟氣候立場(chǎng)逐漸靠攏,新興發(fā)展中大國(guó)地位愈發(fā)凸顯,其他談判力量也根據(jù)自身情況不斷作出立場(chǎng)調(diào)整。中國(guó)在國(guó)際氣候機(jī)制形成和發(fā)展中已處于關(guān)鍵位置,如何根據(jù)政治格局變化維護(hù)發(fā)展中國(guó)家利益和立場(chǎng),實(shí)現(xiàn)負(fù)責(zé)任大國(guó)形象和國(guó)內(nèi)低碳發(fā)展將伴隨著整個(gè)后京都過(guò)程。

      關(guān)鍵詞: 波茲南會(huì)議, 氣候變化, 談判聯(lián)盟, 政治格局

      Abstract: As an intermediate conference between the Bali and Copenhagen conference, the Poznan conference of December 2008 not only comprehensively reviewed the implementation of Bali roadmap, but also prepared for the future Copenhagen negotiations; therefore it is an extremely important conference. Two negotiation camps, three major forces engaged in a struggle over the principle of "common but differentiated responsibilities"and relevant issues, such as emission reduction target, adaptation, transfer of technologies, and finance support, etc. In 2009, the Obama administration fundamentally changed the position of the United States on climate change, thus moving close to the European Union. At the same time, the emerging powers become more prominent in the political situation, and some other nations also adjust according to their own interests. Obviously, China has been in a very critical position in the formation and development of international climate change regime. How to defense the interest of the whole developing countries, develop the image of responsible stakeholder and realize domestic low-carbon development still need to be seriously addressed.

      Key words: Poznan conference, climate change, negotiation alliance, political structure

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