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      氣候變化研究進(jìn)展 ?? 2010, Vol. 6 ?? Issue (05): 370-375.

      ? 對(duì)策論壇 ? 上一篇    下一篇

      中國能源領(lǐng)域低碳技術(shù)發(fā)展路線圖

      劉強(qiáng)1,姜克雋2,胡秀蓮   

      1. 1. 國家發(fā)改委能源研究所CDM項(xiàng)目管理中心2. 國家發(fā)展和改革委員會(huì)能源研究所
      • 收稿日期:2009-11-02 修回日期:2010-04-26 出版日期:2010-09-30 發(fā)布日期:2010-09-30
      • 通訊作者: 劉強(qiáng)

      Low Carbon Technology Development Roadmap for China

      Jiang Kejun   

      1. Energy Research Institute, National Development and Reform Commission
      • Received:2009-11-02 Revised:2010-04-26 Online:2010-09-30 Published:2010-09-30

      摘要: 隨著氣候變化問題成為當(dāng)今國際社會(huì)普遍關(guān)注的全球性問題,國際社會(huì)包括發(fā)展中國家在內(nèi),都在為應(yīng)對(duì)氣候變化進(jìn)行著不懈的努力。對(duì)中國來說,實(shí)現(xiàn)低碳發(fā)展也成為未來必然要遵循的社會(huì)經(jīng)濟(jì)發(fā)展途徑,而技術(shù)在其中將起到至關(guān)重要的作用。本研究基于中國綜合政策評(píng)價(jià)模型,分析得到了未來中國實(shí)現(xiàn)低碳排放情景的技術(shù)發(fā)展路線圖。研究結(jié)果顯示,未來中國仍具有實(shí)現(xiàn)低碳發(fā)展的潛力和機(jī)會(huì),但需要加快和加大關(guān)鍵低碳技術(shù)的應(yīng)用和普及力度,并為此提供相應(yīng)的政策措施支持。

      關(guān)鍵詞: 氣候變化, 情景, 低碳, 技術(shù)

      Abstract: Climate change is a global issue to which high importance has been attached by all countries in the world. The international society, including both developed and developing countries, has made continuing efforts to address the issue. It is essential and important for China to follow a low carbon pathway, on which the technology will play a key role, in the economic and social development in the future. On the basis of the Integrated Policy Assessment Model for China (IPAC model), this paper analyzes a technology development roadmap for China to achieve a low carbon scenario. The results show that there are plenty of potential and opportunities for China to move towards a low carbon society, under the condition of enhanced and accelerated application and expansion of key low carbon technologies, which needs strong policy and measure supports from all sectors in China.

      Key words: climate change, scenario, low carbon, technology, roadmap

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