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      氣候變化研究進展 ?? 2011, Vol. 7 ?? Issue (1): 8-13.

      ? 氣候系統(tǒng)變化 ? 上一篇    下一篇

      1961—2000年西南地區(qū)小時降水變化特征

      張煥1,翟盤茂1,唐紅玉2   

      1. 1. 中國氣象科學(xué)研究院
        2. 青海省氣象局氣候中心
      • 收稿日期:2010-03-29 修回日期:2010-05-10 出版日期:2011-01-30 發(fā)布日期:2011-01-31
      • 通訊作者: 張煥 E-mail:huan1824@yahoo.com.cn
      • 基金資助:

        自然科學(xué)基金

      Trends of Hourly Precipitation over Southwest China During 1961-2000

      • Received:2010-03-29 Revised:2010-05-10 Online:2011-01-30 Published:2011-01-31

      摘要: 根據(jù)西南地區(qū)112個站點1961—2000年逐時降水資料,分析了不同季節(jié)降水時數(shù)、小時雨強、極端強降水時數(shù)和極端強降水強度的變化趨勢。從降水時數(shù)變化來看,夏季西南大部分地區(qū)如四川盆地西部、云南、貴州南部等地總降水時數(shù)有減少趨勢,四川盆地東部和川西高原總降水時數(shù)增加;整個區(qū)域平均趨勢為-0.9%/10a。相應(yīng)地,極端強降水時數(shù)雖然在盆地西部減少,但在西南大部分地區(qū),特別是四川盆地東部、川西高原、云南大部、貴州增加,區(qū)域平均增加趨勢為2.0%/10a。秋季西南地區(qū)總降水時數(shù)整體減少(-3.5%/10a),而極端強降水時數(shù)趨勢不明顯。從雨強變化來看,夏季除盆地西部平均雨強減小外,西南地區(qū)大部平均雨強增大,大部分站點極端強降水雨強也增大;秋季平均雨強在云南和貴州大部分地區(qū)有增大趨勢,而盆地東部和川西高原有減小趨勢。

      Abstract: Based on the 1961-2000 hourly precipitation data at 112 stations of Southwest China, frequencies and intensities of hourly precipitation and extreme hourly precipitation in four seasons were analyzed. The results show that: 1) in summer, hourly precipitation frequencies decreased in most parts of Southwest China, including the western Sichuan Basin, Yunnan and southern Guizhou, but increased in the eastern Sichuan Basin and the western Sichuan highland; the regional mean hourly precipitation frequencies decreased by 0.9% per 10 years; while extreme hourly precipitation frequencies decreased in the western Sichuan Basin, and increased in most parts of Southwest China, including the eastern Sichuan Basin, western Sichuan highland, most part of Yunnan and Guizhou; the regional mean extreme hourly precipitation frequencies increased by 2.0% per 10 years. In autumn, trends of hourly precipitation frequencies were negative in most of Southwest China; the regional mean hourly precipitation frequencies decreased by 3.5% per 10 years; however trends of extreme hourly precipitation frequencies were not obvious. 2) In summer, trends of average rainfall intensity in most parts of Southwest China, except the western Sichuan Basin, were positive; furthermore, trends of extreme hourly precipitation intensity were also positive in most parts of Southwest China. In autumn, the average rainfall intensity increased in most parts of Yunnan and Guizhou, but decreased in the eastern Sichuan Basin and the western Sichuan highland.

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