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      氣候變化研究進(jìn)展 ?? 2010, Vol. 6 ?? Issue (02): 106-112.

      ? 氣候系統(tǒng)變化 ? 上一篇    下一篇

      1876-1878年中國(guó)大范圍持續(xù)干旱事件

      張德二,梁有葉   

      1. 國(guó)家氣候中心
      • 收稿日期:2009-06-23 修回日期:2009-09-10 出版日期:2010-03-30 發(fā)布日期:2010-03-30
      • 通訊作者: 張德二

      A Long Lasting and Extensive Drought Event over China During 1876-1878

      Zhang Deer,Liang Youye   

      1. National Climate Center, China Meteorological Administration
      • Received:2009-06-23 Revised:2009-09-10 Online:2010-03-30 Published:2010-03-30
      • Contact: Zhang Deer

      摘要: 研究1876-1878年中國(guó)持續(xù)3年的大范圍嚴(yán)重干旱,這是發(fā)生在小冰期將結(jié)束、全球氣候迅速變暖之前的寒冷氣候背景下的重大氣象災(zāi)害和極端氣候事件。依據(jù)歷史文獻(xiàn)記載復(fù)原了干旱發(fā)生、發(fā)展的動(dòng)態(tài)過(guò)程,統(tǒng)計(jì)逐年受旱縣數(shù),繪制了歷年旱災(zāi)和伴生的饑荒、蝗災(zāi)、疫疾發(fā)生地域?qū)崨r圖。這次持續(xù)干旱范圍廣及13個(gè)省份,干旱的中心區(qū)域在山西、河南、陜西。旱區(qū)中心1877年連續(xù)無(wú)透雨時(shí)段超過(guò)200 d,跨年度的連續(xù)無(wú)透雨時(shí)段最長(zhǎng)達(dá)340 d。其嚴(yán)重程度超過(guò)20世紀(jì)最嚴(yán)重的1928-1930年的干旱事件。該事件發(fā)生于太陽(yáng)黑子第11活動(dòng)周的下降時(shí)段和第12周的太陽(yáng)黑子極小值年,又位于厄爾尼諾(El Nino)事件頻繁期, 對(duì)應(yīng)于極強(qiáng)的El Nino事件。

      關(guān)鍵詞: 極端氣候事件, 干旱, 歷史氣候, 氣象災(zāi)害

      Abstract: A long lasting and extensive drought event over China was studied, that occurred in 1876-1878 under the background of the cold climate at the end of the Little Ice Age before the global warming. The dynamic process of the occurrence and development of the drought event was recovered from the historical literal records of China in the period by counting the yearly number of drought-hit counties and by plotting the distributions of yearly drought and its associated famine, locust plague and pestilence. This persistent drought disaster spread over 13 provinces with the center covering Shanxi, Henan and Shaanxi provinces, where the continuous non-soaking rain period exceeded 340 days, among which over 200 days was in 1877. The severity of the drought disaster even exceeds that of the drought during 1928-1930 which is considered as the most disastrous event in the 20th century. Besides, it is found that the drought event occurred in 1876-1878 when the sunspots were at the descent phase of the 11th activity period and at the minimum of the 12th activity period; and the El Nin~o was in its high frequency and extremely active period (level S++).

      Key words: extreme climatic event, drought, historical climate, meteorological disaster, 1876-1878

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