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      氣候變化研究進(jìn)展 ?? 2011, Vol. 7 ?? Issue (2): 143-148.

      ? 氣候變化影響 ? 上一篇    下一篇

      農業(yè)對氣候變化的脆弱性

      陶生才1,許吟隆2,劉珂3,潘婕3,茍詩(shī)薇3   

      1. 1. 中國農業(yè)科學(xué)院
        2. 中國農業(yè)科學(xué)院 農業(yè)環(huán)境與可持續發(fā)展研究所
        3.
      • 收稿日期:2010-09-27 修回日期:2010-11-30 出版日期:2011-03-30 發(fā)布日期:2011-04-07
      • 通訊作者: 許吟隆 E-mail:xuyl@ami.ac.cn
      • 基金資助:
        973;行業(yè)專(zhuān)項;自然科學(xué)基金

      Research Progress in Agricultural Vulnerability to Climate Change

      • Received:2010-09-27 Revised:2010-11-30 Online:2011-03-30 Published:2011-04-07

      摘要: 隨著(zhù)對氣候變化研究的不斷深入,氣候變化脆弱性問(wèn)題也得到了更多的關(guān)注。相對于水資源、森林等其他自然生態(tài)系統,農業(yè)受氣候變化的影響最大,科學(xué)地評價(jià)其對氣候變化的脆弱性,對于制定合理有效的適應對策具有重要意義。從氣候變化脆弱性與農業(yè)對氣候變化脆弱性的定義、研究?jì)热莺驮u價(jià)方法等角度綜述了研究進(jìn)展,在此基礎上分析了目前該領(lǐng)域存在的問(wèn)題,包括情景應用、方法和不確定性等方面,并展望了未來(lái)脆弱性評價(jià)的發(fā)展方向。

      關(guān)鍵詞: 氣候變化, 脆弱性, 農業(yè), climate change, vulnerability, agriculture

      Abstract: With the deepening of climate change research, more attention has been paid to vulnerability to climate change. Compared with water resources, forests and other natural ecosystems, agriculture is more vulnerable to climate change, thereby scientifically assessing agricultural vulnerability to climate change is of great significance to rationally formulate effective adaptation strategies. Progresses in research of agricultural vulnerability to climate change are reviewed in this paper from aspects of definition, research content, evaluation methodology and so on. Besides, the problems existing in the current research, such as scenario application, methods, and uncertainty, are also analyzed, and meanwhile, the direction for future research is presented.

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