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氣候變化研究進(jìn)展 ?? 2008, Vol. 4 ?? Issue (004): 230-234.
丁淑娟,張繼權(quán),劉興朋,董芳蕾
Shu-Juan DING,Ji-Quan ZHANG,Xing-Peng LIU,Fang-Lei DONG
摘要: 利用1986-2005年哈爾濱市區(qū)、郊區(qū)的年均氣溫資料以及哈爾濱市發(fā)展強度資料,分析了哈爾濱近20 a來城市發(fā)展與熱島效應(yīng)的關(guān)系。結(jié)果表明:哈爾濱市發(fā)展強度指標(biāo)與熱島效應(yīng)之間具有顯著的正相關(guān)關(guān)系,工業(yè)生產(chǎn)總值、建成區(qū)面積、全年用電量、公共交通實有車輛、年末實有道路面積、全年供水量是使哈爾濱市產(chǎn)生熱島效應(yīng)的主要因子。綜合城市發(fā)展指數(shù)與哈爾濱市年熱島強度指數(shù)的相關(guān)系數(shù)為0.72,二者擬合曲線初具環(huán)境庫茲涅茨曲線特征。
關(guān)鍵詞: 熱島效應(yīng), 城市發(fā)展, 灰色關(guān)聯(lián)度, 加權(quán)綜合評價法
Abstract: By using the temperature data at an urban station and three suburban stations and the urban development statistical data in Harbin from 1986 to 2005, the relationship between urban development and heat island effect was analyzed for the past 20 years. The main conclusions are summarized as follows: there was a positive correlation between urban development and heat island intensity in Harbin. The main contributive factors to heat island effect were annual industrial GDP, built-up area, annual power consumption, public transport vehicles, road areas and annual water consumption. The correlation coefficient between synthesized urban development index and annual heat island intensity was 0.72, significant at the 0.01 significance level, and their fit curve generally showed the characteristic of Environmental Kuznets Curve.
Key words: heat island effect, urban development, grey correlation degree, variable weight synthesizing model
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