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      氣候變化研究進(jìn)展 ?? 2009, Vol. 05 ?? Issue (01): 39-43.

      ? 研究論文 ? 上一篇    下一篇

      北疆積雪深度和積雪日數的變化趨勢

      王秋香 張春良 劉靜 劉衛平   

      1. 新疆氣象局
      • 收稿日期:2008-01-07 修回日期:2008-04-24 出版日期:2009-01-22 發(fā)布日期:2009-01-22
      • 通訊作者: 王秋香

      The Changing Tendency on the Depth and Days of Snow Cover in Northern Xinjiang

      WANG Qiu-Xiang   

      • Received:2008-01-07 Revised:2008-04-24 Online:2009-01-22 Published:2009-01-22
      • Contact: WANG Qiu-Xiang

      摘要: 選取新疆北疆20個(gè)站1961-2006年積雪及穩定積雪日數、最大積雪深度資料,同時(shí)選擇冬季降水量和氣溫穩定通過(guò)0℃以下的日數作為積雪的影響因子,分析了46 a來(lái)北疆積雪的變化趨勢。結果表明:46 a來(lái)最大積雪深度呈顯著(zhù)增加趨勢,平均年增長(cháng)0.8%,其變化與冬季降水量增加有關(guān),呈正相關(guān);積雪日數和穩定積雪日數也呈稍增加趨勢,增加主要發(fā)生在1960-1980年代,1990年代以來(lái)有所減少,其變化與氣溫穩定通過(guò)0℃以下的日數呈顯著(zhù)正相關(guān)。

      關(guān)鍵詞: 北疆, 積雪, 穩定積雪, 最大積雪深度, 趨勢

      Abstract: Based on the meteorological observations at 20 representative stations in Northern Xinjiang in 1961-2006, trends of snow cover (including the maximum depth, days of snow cover and steady snow cover) were investigated using the methods of autoregressive moving average model, second order principal value function, and correlation analysis. The results show that the maximum depth of snow cover was significantly positively correlated with winter precipitation; the maximum depth increased at an average annual growth rate of 0.8% in the past 46 years, which was smaller than that of winter precipitation. The day numbers of snow cover and steady snow cover were also significantly positively correlated with days of temperature steadily below 0℃, but the increasing trend of snow cover days was not significant; the days of snow cover increased from the 1960s to the 1980s, but decreased after the 1990s.

      Key words: Northern Xinjiang, snow cover, steady snow cover, maximum depth of snow cover, multi-year variations, tendency

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