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      氣候變化研究進(jìn)展 ?? 2009, Vol. 05 ?? Issue (01): 50-55.

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      氣候變化對林火動(dòng)態(tài)的影響研究進(jìn)展

      趙鳳君 王明玉 舒立福 王春乙   

      1. 中國林業(yè)科學(xué)研究院森林生態(tài)環(huán)境與保護研究所
      • 收稿日期:2008-04-27 修回日期:2008-05-08 出版日期:2009-01-22 發(fā)布日期:2009-01-22
      • 通訊作者: 趙鳳君

      Progress in Studies on Influences of Climate Change on Forest Fire Regime

        

      • Received:2008-04-27 Revised:2008-05-08 Online:2009-01-22 Published:2009-01-22

      摘要: 氣候變化對林火動(dòng)態(tài)的影響一直是國內外研究的熱點(diǎn),從數據獲取方式、研究?jì)热荨⒀芯糠椒ê脱芯拷Y論等角度出發(fā)對此領(lǐng)域的進(jìn)展進(jìn)行了綜述。當前以氣候變暖為主要特征的氣候變化已對林火動(dòng)態(tài)產(chǎn)生重要影響,全球大部分地區林火發(fā)生頻率增大、林火強度增強;在預期繼續變暖的氣候背景下,未來(lái)林火情勢會(huì )更加嚴峻;但由于氣候變化的區域性差異,有些地區的林火動(dòng)態(tài)變化不明顯或呈現下降趨勢。對預期氣候情景下研究結論的不確定性進(jìn)行了分析,并討論了我國與國外在此領(lǐng)域的研究差距及其原因。最后,對未來(lái)的研究方向進(jìn)行了展望。

      關(guān)鍵詞: 氣候變化, 林火動(dòng)態(tài), 林火天氣, 可燃物

      Abstract: In the last few years, the influence of climate change on forest fire regime has become a hot topic of research in China and overseas. The progress in this field has been reviewed from the aspects of data source, study methods, major research contents and conclusions. The current global warming has already had an important influence on forest fire regime. The forest fire frequency and intensity has increased in most areas of the world. Under expected warmer climate conditions in the future, the fire situation will be more serious with more and stronger fires in most areas of the world. However, the fire regime changes in some areas are still not clear due to the difference in regional climate change. The uncertainty of the conclusions under projected climate scenarios is introduced in this paper. The research gap in this field between China and foreign countries and its possible reasons are also discussed. Finally, future research directions are suggested.

      Key words: climate change, forest fire regime, fire weather, fuel

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