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      氣候變化研究進(jìn)展 ?? 2009, Vol. 5 ?? Issue (06): 362-368.

      ? 對策論壇 ? 上一篇    下一篇

      全球長(cháng)期減排目標與碳排放權分配原則

      何建坤1,陳文穎1,滕飛1,劉濱2   

      1. 1. 清華大學(xué)2. 清華大學(xué)能科樓C-404
      • 收稿日期:2009-09-04 修回日期:2009-09-15 出版日期:2009-11-30 發(fā)布日期:2009-11-30
      • 通訊作者: 陳文穎

      Long-Term Climate Change Mitigation Target and Carbon Permit Allocation

      • Received:2009-09-04 Revised:2009-09-15 Online:2009-11-30 Published:2009-11-30

      摘要: 全球長(cháng)期減排目標將對世界未來(lái)的碳排放形成嚴重制約,減排義務(wù)的分擔原則涉及各國的發(fā)展空間,事關(guān)根本利益。部分發(fā)達國家倡導人均排放趨同原則,回避發(fā)達國家的歷史責任,中國等發(fā)展中國家提出人均累積排放趨同原則,強調公平性。按人均累積排放量計算,發(fā)達國家自工業(yè)革命以來(lái)的CO2排放量已遠超出其到2050年前應有的限額,其當前和今后相當長(cháng)時(shí)期的高人均排放都將繼續擠占發(fā)展中國家的排放空間。因此,發(fā)達國家在哥本哈根會(huì )議的中近期減排承諾中必須深度減排,以實(shí)現全球長(cháng)期減排目標下的排放軌跡,并為發(fā)展中國家留有必要的發(fā)展空間。同時(shí)必須對發(fā)展中國家給予充足的資金和技術(shù)支持,作為對其過(guò)度擠占發(fā)展中國家發(fā)展空間的補償,使發(fā)展中國家能夠在可持續發(fā)展框架下,提高應對氣候變化的能力。我國在對外堅持公平原則,努力爭取合理的排放空間的同時(shí),對內要加強向低碳經(jīng)濟轉型,努力實(shí)現保護全球氣候和國內可持續發(fā)展的雙贏(yíng)。

      關(guān)鍵詞: 氣候變化, 碳排放權分配, 長(cháng)期減排目標, 人均累積排放

      Abstract: Long-term climate change mitigation target would highly constrain global carbon emissions in future. Carbon permit allocation under the long-term mitigation target would impact development space for all countries, involving the fundamental interests. Some developed countries advocate the principle of per capita emission convergence while China and other developing countries propose the principle of convergence of accumulative emission per capita to consider historical responsibility. If the latter is used for carbon permit allocation, CO2 emissions of developed countries since the industrial revolution have far exceeded their allocated permits. Developed countries?high per capita emissions at present and for quite a long period in future would continue to occupy emission spaces for developing countries. Therefore, developed countries must commit deeper emission reduction rate for the next commitment period at the Copenhagen conference in order to achieve the emission pathway under the long-term emission reduction target, and to save necessary development space for developing countries. At the same time, developed countries should provide adequate financial and technical support as compensation for their overuse of the development space for developing countries, to improve developing countries?capacity to respond to climate change under the framework of sustainable development. On the one hand, we should insist on the principle of equity to obtain reasonable emission space for our country in the international climate change negotiation; while on the other hand, we should enhance development toward low-carbon economy to protect global environment and to achieve sustainable development.

      Key words: climate change, carbon permit allocation, long-term mitigation target, accumulative emission per capita, Copenhagen conference

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