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      氣候變化研究進(jìn)展 ?? 2008, Vol. 4 ?? Issue (005): 266-271.

      ? 國際進(jìn)程 ? 上一篇    下一篇

      對斯特恩新報告的要點(diǎn)評述和解讀

      陳迎1,潘家華2   

      1. 1. 中國社會(huì )科學(xué)院可持續發(fā)展研究中心2. 中國社會(huì )科學(xué)院 可持續發(fā)展研究中心
      • 收稿日期:2008-06-17 修回日期:2008-07-27 出版日期:2008-09-30 發(fā)布日期:2008-09-30
      • 通訊作者: 陳迎

      Key Elements of the New Stern Report and Their Implications

      Chen Ying,Pan Jiahua   

      1. Research Center for Sustainable Development, Chinese Academy of Social Sciences
      • Received:2008-06-17 Revised:2008-07-27 Online:2008-09-30 Published:2008-09-30
      • Contact: Chen Ying

      摘要: 2006年10月,英國推出的由著(zhù)名經(jīng)濟學(xué)家斯特恩爵士領(lǐng)導編寫(xiě)的《斯特恩回顧:氣候變化經(jīng)濟學(xué)》,從經(jīng)濟學(xué)的角度著(zhù)重論述了全球應對氣候變化的緊迫性,強調只有盡快大幅度減少溫室氣體排放,才能避免全球升溫超過(guò)2℃可能造成的巨大經(jīng)濟損失,且減排成本并不高。2008年4月,斯特恩爵士再次推出一份報告,提出為實(shí)現上述目標構建2012年后國際氣候制度的基本要素,這對后續國際談判可能會(huì )產(chǎn)生一定的影響。通過(guò)比較分析兩份報告的關(guān)系和不同特點(diǎn),對新報告中國際氣候制度設計和評價(jià)的基本原則,全球減排的長(cháng)期目標和減排義務(wù)的分擔,通過(guò)資金、技術(shù)、市場(chǎng)、適應等國際政策措施吸引發(fā)展中國家參與,減少毀林排放,以及政策執行和制度建設等問(wèn)題進(jìn)行了評述和解讀,其中內涵對深入開(kāi)展國際氣候制度的研究和我國參與國際氣候談判有重要啟發(fā)。

      關(guān)鍵詞: 斯特恩報告, 2012年后國際氣候制度, 國際氣候談判

      Abstract: In October 2006, the UK published "Stern Review? The Economics of Climate Change", in which the authors (Stern et al.) highlight the urgency of global actions to address climate change, emphasize that the early and deep reduction of greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions is necessary to avoid the large economic losses resulted from the global temperature rising over 2℃, and state that the costs of reduction are moderate. In April 2008, Stern put forth a new report to discuss the elements of the global climate regime beyond 2012 to achieve the above objective, which could be influential to subsequent international negotiations. In this paper, based on the comparison of characteristics of the two reports and their linkages, some key elements of the new report, such as basic principles for the design and evaluation of international climate regime, the long-term objective of global emission reduction and burden sharing, the participation of developing countries, and international policy incentives related to finance, technology, market and adaptation, the emissions reduction from deforestation, and policy implementation and institutional construction, are reviewed and analyzed in more details. The insights from the new report could illuminate the further research work in this field and the China's strategy to participate in the international climate negotiations.

      Key words: Stern report, international climate regime beyond 2012, international climate negotiations

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