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      氣候變化研究進(jìn)展 ?? 2010, Vol. 6 ?? Issue (01): 29-34.

      ? 氣候變化影響 ? 上一篇    下一篇

      氣候變暖對(duì)呼和浩特地區(qū)采暖期能源消耗的影響

      李喜倉(cāng),白美蘭,楊晶,于鳳鳴,邸瑞琦,馬玉峰   

      1. 內(nèi)蒙古自治區(qū)氣候中心
      • 收稿日期:2009-04-17 修回日期:2009-05-12 出版日期:2010-01-30 發(fā)布日期:2010-01-30
      • 通訊作者: 李喜倉(cāng)

      Impacts of Climate Warming on Energy Consumed in Heating Period in Hohhot

      li xi-cang   

      • Received:2009-04-17 Revised:2009-05-12 Online:2010-01-30 Published:2010-01-30
      • Contact: li xi-cang

      摘要: 利用呼和浩特市1962-2007年逐日氣溫以及采暖期供熱部門(mén)提供的相關(guān)參數(shù),運(yùn)用數(shù)理統(tǒng)計(jì)等分析方法,參照采暖供熱等相關(guān)規(guī)范,綜合分析了呼和浩特市采暖變化特征以及氣候變暖對(duì)采暖能耗的影響。結(jié)果表明:隨著氣候變暖,呼和浩特市采暖期比實(shí)際采暖期縮短30 d,尤其是在1988年氣溫發(fā)生突變之后,采暖期縮短趨勢(shì)更加明顯。采暖期能耗的高低與采暖度日和采暖期長(zhǎng)度關(guān)系極為密切。近46年呼和浩特市采暖度日與采暖期長(zhǎng)度均呈現(xiàn)顯著下降趨勢(shì),說(shuō)明呼和浩特市冬季寒冷程度減弱,寒冷期變短,如果采取措施可以有效降低采暖能耗。呼和浩特市采暖需求偏多年份88%以上出現(xiàn)在20世紀(jì)60-70年代,而約有85%的偏少年份出現(xiàn)在20世紀(jì)90年代至21世紀(jì)初期。

      關(guān)鍵詞: 氣候變暖, 采暖期, 能源消耗, 節(jié)能

      Abstract: Based on the daily temperature and wind speed data, and relevant parameters provided by the heat supply sector of Hohhot during 1962-2007, and the relevant heating regulation, by means of mathematic statistics methods, the temporal evolution of winter heating and the impact of climate warming on the energy consumed for winter heating are analyzed. It is concluded that with climate warming, the heating period has been shortened by 30 days, especially after 1988 when an abrupt change in daily average temperature took place; the energy consumed in the heating period is closely related with the duration and degree-day of the heating period each year, and they both have shown a significant decline trend in past 46 years, indicating that the winter in Hohhot is warming and the cold period is getting shorter, therefore, the energy consumed is reduced: 88% of the years when the energy consumed in the heating period was more than normal occurred in the period of the 1960s to 1970s, and 85% of the years when the energy consumed was less than normal appeared in the period of the 1990s to now, suggesting that the persistent warming period started from the 1990s.

      Key words: climate warming, heating period, energy consumed, energy conservation

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