国产综合在线观看视频,国产精品原创视频,亚洲国产熟亚洲女视频,一级风流片a级国产

       

      氣候變化研究進(jìn)展 ?? 2010, Vol. 6 ?? Issue (05): 344-348.

      ? 氣候系統(tǒng)變化 ? 上一篇    下一篇

      樹(shù)輪記錄的賀蘭山北部5-7月PDSI變化

      陳峰,袁玉江,魏文壽,喻樹(shù)龍,李楊,張瑞波,范子昂,張同文,尚華明   

      1. 中國(guó)氣象局烏魯木齊沙漠氣象研究所
      • 收稿日期:2010-01-19 修回日期:2010-02-26 出版日期:2010-09-30 發(fā)布日期:2010-09-30
      • 通訊作者: 陳峰

      Long-Term Drought Severity Variations Recorded in Tree Rings in the Northern Helan Mountains

      zhang ruibo   

      • Received:2010-01-19 Revised:2010-02-26 Online:2010-09-30 Published:2010-09-30

      摘要: 利用采自賀蘭山北部3個(gè)采樣點(diǎn)的油松樹(shù)輪樣本,建立了區(qū)域樹(shù)輪寬度年表。相關(guān)分析發(fā)現(xiàn),5-7月的帕爾默干旱指數(shù)(PDSI)與區(qū)域樹(shù)輪寬度差值年表(RES)具有良好的相關(guān)性。因此,利用RES重建賀蘭山北部1759-2005年來(lái)5-7月的PDSI變化, 重建方程的方差解釋量達(dá)47.90%,且方程穩(wěn)定。賀蘭山北部5-7月的PDSI重建序列平均值為-0.41。重建結(jié)果揭示了20世紀(jì)20年代干旱事件和19世紀(jì)后期、20世紀(jì)中期兩個(gè)顯著濕潤(rùn)期的存在。

      關(guān)鍵詞: 賀蘭山, 樹(shù)輪寬度, 帕爾默干旱指數(shù)重建

      Abstract: A drought index series reconstruction for north-central China was presented based on tree-ring-width chronologies developed from three sites of Pinus tabulaeformis in the northern Helan Mountains. The drought index reconstruction, spanning 1759-2005, was developed by calibrating the tree-ring-width chronologies with the Palmer drought severity index (PDSI), which describes the regional moisture condition properly. The reconstructed PDSI in May-July (PDSI5-7) was verified with independent data, and accounted for 47.90% of the actual PDSI5-7 variance during their common period (1953-2005). The mean of PDSI5-7 over 1759-2005 was estimated at -0.41. The full reconstruction indicates that the regional drought variability was relatively stable during the nineteenth century, but became more variable and persistent during the twentieth century. The drought epoch in the late 1920s was the severest one and the 1870s and 1940s were two wetter decades in our reconstruction.

      Key words: Mt. Helan, tree-ring width, PDSI reconstruction

      京ICP備11008704號(hào)-4
      版權(quán)所有 © 《氣候變化研究進(jìn)展》編輯部
      地址:北京市海淀區(qū)中關(guān)村南大街46號(hào) 郵編:100081 電話/傳真:(010)58995171 E-mail:accr@cma.gov.cn
      本系統(tǒng)由北京瑪格泰克科技發(fā)展有限公司設(shè)計(jì)開(kāi)發(fā) 技術(shù)支持:support@magtech.com.cn