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      氣候變化研究進(jìn)展 ?? 2011, Vol. 7 ?? Issue (4): 259-264.

      ? 氣候變化影響 ? 上一篇    下一篇

      氣候變暖對我國南方水稻可種植區的影響

      宋艷玲1,劉波1,2,鐘海玲1,2   

      1. 1. 國家氣候中心
        2.
      • 收稿日期:2011-03-23 修回日期:2011-05-04 出版日期:2011-07-30 發(fā)布日期:2010-07-30
      • 通訊作者: 宋艷玲 E-mail:songyl@cma.gov.cn

      Impact of Global Warming on the Rice Cultivable Area in Southern China in 1961-2009

      • Received:2011-03-23 Revised:2011-05-04 Online:2011-07-30 Published:2010-07-30

      摘要: 利用我國南方稻區214站1961—2009年逐日氣象資料,研究氣候變化對南方水稻可種植區的影響。研究結果顯示:氣候變暖使南方稻區活動(dòng)積溫(日平均氣溫≥10℃)明顯增加,49年增加了324.4℃?d。同時(shí)水稻生長(cháng)季長(cháng)度也明顯延長(cháng),49年延長(cháng)了17.9 d。雙季稻可種植區北界明顯北移,三季稻可種植區北界略有北移,20世紀60—80年代,雙季稻可種植區僅限于長(cháng)江以南地區,但21世紀初以來(lái)的10年雙季稻可種植區北界移到長(cháng)江以北,即向北推移近300 km,從而使新增雙季稻可種植區擴展到四川東北部、貴州東部、重慶、湖北大部、安徽中部以及江蘇南部。

      關(guān)鍵詞: 氣候變暖, 水稻, 可種植區, 中國南方, global warming, rice, cultivable area, southern China

      Abstract: Using the daily weather data from 214 stations over southern China rice growing area during 1961-2009, impact of global warming on the rice cultivable area in southern China was studied. The results show that the accumulated temperature in rice-growing areas across southern China obviously increased in the period of 1961-2009, it increased up to 5980.8℃?d in 2001-2009, 268.0 ℃?d higher than that in the 1960s. Correspondingly, the rice growing season has clearly prolonged up to 231.4 d, 16.5 d longer than that in the 1960s. And the growing boundary for double-cropping rice apparently shifted northwards, and one for triple-cropping rice slightly shifted northwards. From the 1960s to 1980s, the double-cropping rice grew only in the areas south of the Yangtze River. However in the recent 10 years, the cultivable area for double-cropping rice has extended even north of the Yangtze River, i.e., the northern boundaries have advanced northwards approximately 300 km, extending to northeastern Sichuan, eastern Guizhou, Chongqing, most Hubei, central Anhui, as well as southern Jiangsu.

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