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      氣候變化研究進(jìn)展 ?? 2009, Vol. 5 ?? Issue (04): 226-230.

      ? 研究論文 ? 上一篇    下一篇

      1951-2006年黃河和長(cháng)江流域雨澇變化分析

      張勇,張強ncc,葉殿秀,陳鮮艷,尚贊娣   

      1. 國家氣候中心
      • 收稿日期:2009-02-19 修回日期:1900-01-01 出版日期:2009-07-30 發(fā)布日期:2009-07-30
      • 通訊作者: 張勇

      Analysis of Rain-Waterlogging in the Yellow River and the Yangtze River Basins During 1951-2006

      Zhang Qiang1,Ye Dianxiu2   

      1. 1. China Meteorological Administration2. National Climate Center
      • Received:2009-02-19 Revised:1900-01-01 Online:2009-07-30 Published:2009-07-30

      摘要: 根據1951-2006年黃河和長(cháng)江流域雨澇災害災情統計資料,分析了兩個(gè)流域雨澇災害發(fā)生頻率的時(shí)空分布特征,結果表明:近50 a以來(lái),特別是20世紀80年代以來(lái),受氣候變化影響,黃河和長(cháng)江流域雨澇災害不斷增加,農作物受災、成災面積呈增加趨勢,損失日趨嚴重,且長(cháng)江流域受雨澇災害影響范圍較大,災害發(fā)生頻率大于黃河流域。受暴雨影響,夏季兩個(gè)流域雨澇發(fā)生頻率最高、范圍最廣。20世紀80年代末以來(lái),黃河流域雨澇災害增加趨勢較為明顯,而長(cháng)江流域80年代初雨澇受災面積和成災面積顯著(zhù)增加。兩個(gè)流域雨澇災害的受災率均自上游至下游逐漸增加,其中長(cháng)江流域中下游地區受雨澇災害影響較大。

      關(guān)鍵詞: 黃河流域, 長(cháng)江流域, 雨澇, 受災率

      Abstract: Based on the statistical information of meteorological and agricultural inundation disaster data from 1951 to 2006, the characteristics of the spatial and temporal distribution of the occurrence frequency of rain-waterlogging process (defined as 10-day accumulated rainfall ≥250 mm (150 mm in Northwest China) or 20-day accumulated rainfall ≥350 mm (250 mm in Northwest China)) in the Yellow River and the Yangtze River basins were analyzed, the results show that rain-waterlogging in the two river basins has continually increased during the last 50 years, especially after the 1980s due to the impact of climate change; inundated cropland areas and economic losses showed increasing trends. The rain-waterlogging range was larger and the occurrence frequency of rain-waterlogging was higher in the Yangtze River basin in comparison with the Yellow Rive basin. Summer was a season in one year when the occurrence frequency of rain-waterlogging was the highest and its range was the largest due to the influence of rainstorms. Since the end of the 1980s, rainstorm disaster has distinctively increased in the Yellow Rive basin, and since the early 1980s inundated cropland area has remarkably increased in the Yangtze River basin. The inundation ratios of rain-waterlogging in the two river basins gradually increased from the upper reaches to lower reaches, and the impacts of rain-waterlogging disaster were relatively larger in the middle and lower reaches of the Yangtze River basin.

      Key words: Yellow River basin, Yangtze River basin, rain-waterlogging, inundation ratio, disaster

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